Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Tanner Conner

NE

TE73 · overall #403 · tier – · age 28

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Projected points

18

1.7/gm

Value over replacement

-55

repl 112

Range

9–26

sd 8

Week

0.4

@ BUF

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
1.5
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
1.0
Rec yards / game
10
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.03
Total TD / game
0.03
Games projected
10.4
Observed pts/gm (history)
1.9
Games of history
14
Age multiplier
0.956
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.3
Projected plays / game
60.1
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.38
OL pass protection
-0.39
OL continuity
72%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
57%
1st-down pass rate
43%
Run friendly
+0.11
Scheme creativity
-0.58
Play action / motion
21% / 48%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
6
Effective contributors
1.60
Top player's share
76%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.21

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
BUF,LV,NYJ
Window matchup
-0.05
Opponents after
CHI,MIA,GB
After matchup
-0.15
Flip edge
+0.11
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.25

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

8

Points

9.1

Per game

1.14

17-gm pace

19

Best / worst

2.8 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
12.0TE3242200
31.3TE3821130
40.0TE540000
51.6TE3822160
60.8TE451180
72.8TE2731280
80.6TE432260
90.0TE541000