Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Tank Dell

HOU

WR59 · overall #96 · tier 10 · age 26

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Projected points

104

9.2/gm

Value over replacement

23

repl 115

Range

37–171

sd 67

Week

6.3

vs BUF

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
6.3
Carries / game
0.5
Receptions / game
3.9
Rec yards / game
49
Rush yards / game
3
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.36
Total TD / game
0.36
Games projected
11.3
Observed pts/gm (history)
11.9
Games of history
24
Age multiplier
1.009
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.9
Projected plays / game
61.9
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-1.37
OL pass protection
-1.17
OL continuity
70%
2TE rate
20%
3WR rate
76%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.37
Scheme creativity
-0.30
Play action / motion
23% / 53%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
4.55
Top player's share
35%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy low
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
BUF,CIN,IND
Window matchup
+0.36
Opponents after
DAL,TEN,JAX
After matchup
+0.44
Flip edge
-0.08
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.75

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Tank Dell — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.