Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Tank Bigsby

PHI

RB62 · overall #240 · tier 9 · age 23

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Projected points

63

4.4/gm

Value over replacement

-35

repl 110

Range

30–97

sd 34

Week

4.5

vs WAS

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
1.0
Carries / game
5.0
Receptions / game
0.7
Rec yards / game
5
Rush yards / game
23
Rush TD / game
0.29
Rec TD / game
0.00
Total TD / game
0.29
Games projected
14.4
Observed pts/gm (history)
4.6
Games of history
44
Age multiplier
1.045
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.8
Projected plays / game
61.3
Projected pass rate
53%
OL run block
+1.42
OL pass protection
+1.23
OL continuity
93%
2TE rate
36%
3WR rate
63%
1st-down pass rate
43%
Run friendly
+0.89
Scheme creativity
+0.20
Play action / motion
23% / 46%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
14
Effective contributors
1.61
Top player's share
77%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.31

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
sell high
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
WAS,TEN,CHI
Window matchup
+0.39
Opponents after
LA,JAX,CAR
After matchup
+0.01
Flip edge
+0.38
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.25

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

15

Points

52.3

Per game

3.49

17-gm pace

59

Best / worst

17.1 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
11.251200000
30.00000000
40.00000000
50.00000000
60.00000000
71.5111011-10
810.4910400000
100.73700000
113.443400000
120.81800000
140.41400000
155.7175701000
169.743710000
171.42701120
1817.11675111310