Tai Felton

MIN

WR246 · overall #579 · tier – · age 23

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Projected points

0.9/gm

Value over replacement

-87

repl 119

Range

7–18

sd 5

Week

0.5

vs MIA

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Per game Season total

Targets: 8
Carries: 3
Receptions: 6
Rec yards: 66
Rush yards: 13
Rush TD: 0.0
Rec TD: 0.3
Total TD: 0.3
Games projected: 13.3
Observed pts/gm (history): 0.5
Games of history: 12
Age multiplier: 1.052
Usage carryover: 1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 33.1
Projected plays / game: 61.1
Projected pass rate: 58%
OL run block: -0.05
OL pass protection: +0.10
OL continuity: 76%
2TE rate: 27%
3WR rate: 63%
1st-down pass rate: 46%
Run friendly: -0.76
Scheme creativity: +0.22
Play action / motion: 26% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: committee
Ambiguity score: 56
Effective contributors: 2.95
Top player's share: 48%
New play-caller: no
Variance multiplier: 1.66

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: MIA,NO
Window matchup: +0.75
Opponents after: IND,DET,BUF
After matchup: +0.39
Flip edge: +0.36
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 6
Playoff schedule (15-17): +0.78

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

4.0

Per game

0.33

17-gm pace

Best / worst

1.5 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds
1	0.0	WR118	0	0	0
3	1.4	WR103	1	1	9
4	0.0	WR113	0	0	0
5	0.0	WR101	0	0	0
7	0.0	WR103	0	0	0
9	0.0	WR97	0	0	0
11	0.0	WR107	0	0	0
12	0.0	WR98	0	0	0
13	0.0	WR108	0	0	0
14	1.5	WR85	1	1	10
16	1.1	WR107	1	1	6
18	0.0	WR109	0	0	0