Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Stefon Diggs

WAS

WR47 · overall #104 · tier 8 · age 32

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Projected points

118

8.5/gm

Value over replacement

18

repl 115

Range

48–188

sd 70

Week

6.8

@ PHI

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
83
Carries
1
Receptions
57
Rec yards
656
Rush yards
2
Rush TD
0.1
Rec TD
4.2
Total TD
4.3
Games projected
13.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
14.0
Games of history
58
Age multiplier
0.782
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.8
Projected plays / game
60.8
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
-0.49
OL pass protection
-0.83
OL continuity
84%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
67%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
-0.20
Scheme creativity
-0.17
Play action / motion
20% / 50%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
4.70
Top player's share
36%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
PHI,DAL,SEA
Window matchup
-0.24
Opponents after
IND,NYG,SF
After matchup
+0.14
Flip edge
-0.38
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.47

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

17

Points

125.3

Per game

7.37

17-gm pace

125

Best / worst

16.1 / 2.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
15.77657000
23.25432000
32.33323000
410.176101000
514.61210146000
62.83328000
76.97769000
87.45314100
99.84338100
1010.68546100
1110.5119105000
122.03220000
132.64326000
152.64326000
1613.8109138000
1716.166101100
184.33343000