Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

QB

Spencer Rattler

NO

QB71 · overall #624 · tier – · age 26

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Projected points

61

5.5/gm

Value over replacement

-112

repl 250

Range

35–87

sd 26

Week

1.7

vs ATL

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Pass attempts / game
15.4
Pass yards / game
107
Pass TD / game
0.61
Carries / game
1.0
Rush yards / game
7
Rush TD / game
0.02
Games projected
11.1
Observed pts/gm (history)
10.5
Games of history
16
Age multiplier
1.038
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
31.6
Projected plays / game
62.8
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-0.21
OL pass protection
+0.11
OL continuity
76%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
69%
1st-down pass rate
47%
Run friendly
-0.26
Scheme creativity
-0.29
Play action / motion
19% / 59%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
24
Effective contributors
–
Top player's share
–
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.34

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
ATL,MIN,NYG
Window matchup
-0.03
Opponents after
PIT,CLE
After matchup
+0.08
Flip edge
-0.12
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.57

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

9

Points

98.1

Per game

10.90

17-gm pace

185

Best / worst

21.7 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankCmpAttPa YdsPa TDINTRu AttRu YdsRu TD
111.5QB212746214004290
221.7QB92534207304140
311.7QB232839218112100
413.9QB201827126106490
515.1QB212131225106210
611.1QB232026227004200
710.5QB202032233232120
82.6QB271521136013120
150.0QB3401000000