Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Shedrick Jackson

BAL

WR159 · overall #375 · tier – · age 26

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Projected points

17

1.9/gm

Value over replacement

-51

repl 119

Range

0–48

sd 31

Week

0.5

vs TEN

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
1.2
Carries / game
0.2
Receptions / game
0.7
Rec yards / game
9
Rush yards / game
1
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.08
Total TD / game
0.08
Games projected
9.2
Observed pts/gm (history)
4.5
Games of history
5
Age multiplier
1.009
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.9
Projected plays / game
60.2
Projected pass rate
53%
OL run block
+0.50
OL pass protection
-0.17
OL continuity
57%
2TE rate
45%
3WR rate
34%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
+0.69
Scheme creativity
+0.62
Play action / motion
23% / 53%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
93
Effective contributors
2.62
Top player's share
56%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.14

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
sell high
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
TEN,ATL,CLE
Window matchup
+0.60
Opponents after
CIN,BUF,JAX
After matchup
-0.23
Flip edge
+0.84
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
13
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.08

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

3

Points

15.9

Per game

5.30

17-gm pace

90

Best / worst

9.5 / 2.4

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
149.5WR341125100
174.0WR773220000
182.4WR821111013