QB
Shedeur Sanders
CLEQB81 · overall #634 · tier – · age 24
Projected points
63
5.3/gm
Value over replacement
-124
repl 250
Range
0–129
sd 65
Week
2.3
vs PIT
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Pass attempts / game
- 15.7
- Pass yards / game
- 105
- Pass TD / game
- 0.69
- Carries / game
- 0.9
- Rush yards / game
- 7
- Rush TD / game
- 0.03
- Games projected
- 12.0
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 10.7
- Games of history
- 8
- Age multiplier
- 1.038
- Usage carryover
- 0.90
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 33.4
- Projected plays / game
- 61.0
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- -1.18
- OL pass protection
- -1.79
- OL continuity
- 28%
- 2TE rate
- 37%
- 3WR rate
- 63%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 44%
- Run friendly
- +1.14
- Scheme creativity
- -0.09
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 44%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- new head coach
- Ambiguity score
- 66
- Effective contributors
- –
- Top player's share
- –
- New play-caller
- yes
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy low
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- PIT,NYJ,BAL
- Window matchup
- -0.18
- Opponents after
- TEN,PIT,NO
- After matchup
- -0.27
- Flip edge
- +0.08
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 11
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.39
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
8
Points
84.9
Per game
10.61
17-gm pace
180
Best / worst
33.5 / 1.5
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Cmp | Att | Pa Yds | Pa TD | INT | Ru Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 1.5 | QB35 | 4 | 16 | 47 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 | 10.3 | QB18 | 11 | 20 | 209 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | 10.6 | QB24 | 16 | 25 | 149 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 | 33.5 | QB2 | 23 | 42 | 364 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 1 |
| 15 | 3.5 | QB31 | 18 | 35 | 177 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 | 11.2 | QB23 | 20 | 29 | 157 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 49 | 0 |
| 17 | 9.4 | QB20 | 17 | 23 | 186 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 | 5.0 | QB29 | 11 | 22 | 111 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 0 |