Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

QB

Shane Buechele

BUF

QB73 · overall #626 · tier – · age 28

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Projected points

37

3.9/gm

Value over replacement

-113

repl 250

Range

21–54

sd 17

Week

1.1

vs NE

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Pass attempts / game
12.8
Pass yards / game
96
Pass TD / game
0.58
Carries / game
0.5
Rush yards / game
5
Rush TD / game
0.02
Games projected
9.6
Observed pts/gm (history)
3.9
Games of history
1
Age multiplier
1.012
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.7
Projected plays / game
61.1
Projected pass rate
55%
OL run block
+1.32
OL pass protection
+1.30
OL continuity
78%
2TE rate
28%
3WR rate
65%
1st-down pass rate
40%
Run friendly
+0.97
Scheme creativity
+0.23
Play action / motion
21% / 57%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
24
Effective contributors
–
Top player's share
–
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.34

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
sell high
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
NE,LA,LV
Window matchup
+0.34
Opponents after
BAL,MIN
After matchup
-0.72
Flip edge
+1.06
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.44

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

1

Points

3.9

Per game

3.92

17-gm pace

67

Best / worst

3.9 / 3.9

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankCmpAttPa YdsPa TDINTRu AttRu YdsRu TD
183.9QB317148800140