Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Seth McGowan

INDROOKIE R7

RB159 · overall #634 · tier

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Projected points

5

0.3/gm

Value over replacement

-97

repl 110

Range

0–23

sd 18

Week

0.3

vs BAL

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
0.1
Carries / game
0.4
Receptions / game
0.1
Rec yards / game
1
Rush yards / game
2
Rush TD / game
0.01
Rec TD / game
0.00
Total TD / game
0.01
Games projected
14.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
Games of history
0
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.7
Projected plays / game
61.9
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.78
OL pass protection
+0.85
OL continuity
81%
2TE rate
35%
3WR rate
65%
1st-down pass rate
48%
Run friendly
+0.12
Scheme creativity
+0.53
Play action / motion
31% / 50%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
1
Effective contributors
1.32
Top player's share
87%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.11

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
BAL,KC,HOU
Window matchup
-0.81
Opponents after
WAS,PIT,TEN
After matchup
+0.36
Flip edge
-1.18
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
13
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.30

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Seth McGowan — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.