Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Samaje Perine

CIN

RB70 · overall #229 · tier – · age 31

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Projected points

82

5.6/gm

Value over replacement

-25

repl 116

Range

53–112

sd 29

Week

4.6

vs JAX

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
28
Carries
88
Receptions
22
Rec yards
169
Rush yards
367
Rush TD
2.0
Rec TD
0.5
Total TD
2.5
Games projected
14.8
Observed pts/gm (history)
5.5
Games of history
65
Age multiplier
0.857
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.7
Projected plays / game
60.8
Projected pass rate
60%
OL run block
-0.73
OL pass protection
-1.39
OL continuity
98%
2TE rate
40%
3WR rate
58%
1st-down pass rate
54%
Run friendly
-1.75
Scheme creativity
-0.67
Play action / motion
17% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
9
Effective contributors
1.82
Top player's share
69%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.28

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
JAX,MIA
Window matchup
+0.43
Opponents after
BAL,TEN,ATL
After matchup
-0.49
Flip edge
+0.92
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
6
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.50

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

15

Points

60.9

Per game

4.06

17-gm pace

69

Best / worst

16.0 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
10.6RB670002260
20.0RB740000000
30.1RB7542100000
40.4RB671401000
52.9RB4142702220
63.2RB44616032160
73.1RB4573100000
816.0RB1199411160
90.5RB601500000
133.4RB481439022150
143.8RB4463101170
154.3RB42144201110
1610.1RB24725132160
177.3RB253511180
185.2RB33842043100