Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

QB

Sam Howell

DAL

QB69 · overall #621 · tier – · age 26

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Projected points

57

5.6/gm

Value over replacement

-102

repl 250

Range

6–108

sd 51

Week

1.4

@ HOU

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Pass attempts
166
Pass yards
1155
Pass TD
6.9
Carries
10
Rush yards
63
Rush TD
0.6
Games projected
10.2
Observed pts/gm (history)
14.2
Games of history
19
Age multiplier
1.038
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
31.0
Projected plays / game
64.1
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+0.24
OL pass protection
+0.09
OL continuity
86%
2TE rate
20%
3WR rate
72%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
-0.93
Scheme creativity
-0.33
Play action / motion
22% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
24
Effective contributors
–
Top player's share
–
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.34

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
HOU,TB,GB
Window matchup
+0.01
Opponents after
PHI,ARI,IND
After matchup
+0.23
Flip edge
-0.22
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
14
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.27

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Sam Howell — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.