Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

QB

Sam Ehlinger

DEN

QB66 · overall #615 · tier – · age 27

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Projected points

37

4.3/gm

Value over replacement

-99

repl 250

Range

14–60

sd 23

Week

0.9

@ SF

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Pass attempts / game
12.8
Pass yards / game
95
Pass TD / game
0.57
Carries / game
0.7
Rush yards / game
6
Rush TD / game
0.02
Games projected
8.7
Observed pts/gm (history)
8.9
Games of history
4
Age multiplier
1.025
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.2
Projected plays / game
62.2
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+1.17
OL pass protection
+1.48
OL continuity
98%
2TE rate
23%
3WR rate
72%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
-0.37
Scheme creativity
+0.15
Play action / motion
25% / 43%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
24
Effective contributors
–
Top player's share
–
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.34

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
SF,LAC,SEA
Window matchup
-0.43
Opponents after
ARI,KC,CAR
After matchup
+0.14
Flip edge
-0.56
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.26

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Sam Ehlinger — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.