Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Roschon Johnson

CHI

RB85 · overall #304 · tier – · age 25

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Projected points

45

3.8/gm

Value over replacement

-40

repl 116

Range

20–70

sd 25

Week

1.0

vs NYJ

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
1.2
Carries / game
3.7
Receptions / game
0.9
Rec yards / game
7
Rush yards / game
15
Rush TD / game
0.18
Rec TD / game
0.00
Total TD / game
0.18
Games projected
11.7
Observed pts/gm (history)
4.1
Games of history
34
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.8
Projected plays / game
62.5
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
+1.36
OL pass protection
+1.05
OL continuity
82%
2TE rate
36%
3WR rate
64%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
+0.61
Scheme creativity
+0.58
Play action / motion
26% / 54%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
34
Effective contributors
2.04
Top player's share
56%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.35

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
NYJ,GB,ATL
Window matchup
+0.57
Opponents after
NE,SEA,TB
After matchup
-0.09
Flip edge
+0.66
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.57

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

6

Points

1.7

Per game

0.28

17-gm pace

5

Best / worst

1.1 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
20.0RB750000000
30.0RB760000000
40.0RB740000000
60.6RB651600000
71.1RB6211100000
110.0RB760000000