Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Ronnie Bell

LV

WR176 · overall #412 · tier – · age 26

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Projected points

19

1.9/gm

Value over replacement

-56

repl 119

Range

0–55

sd 36

Week

0.5

vs KC

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
1.2
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
0.7
Rec yards / game
8
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.14
Total TD / game
0.14
Games projected
10.1
Observed pts/gm (history)
2.8
Games of history
19
Age multiplier
1.009
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.6
Projected plays / game
60.9
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-1.08
OL pass protection
-0.32
OL continuity
50%
2TE rate
42%
3WR rate
58%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
+0.59
Scheme creativity
-0.05
Play action / motion
22% / 53%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
98
Effective contributors
4.24
Top player's share
38%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
KC,NE,BUF
Window matchup
-0.36
Opponents after
LA,NYJ,SF
After matchup
+0.01
Flip edge
-0.38
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
13
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.07

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

2

Points

8.3

Per game

4.15

17-gm pace

71

Best / worst

8.3 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
170.0WR120000000
188.3WR214223100