Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Romeo Doubs

NE

WR41 · overall #96 · tier 8 · age 26

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Projected points

123

8.7/gm

Value over replacement

18

repl 119

Range

70–176

sd 53

Week

6.2

@ BUF

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
6.1
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
3.8
Rec yards / game
46
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.36
Total TD / game
0.36
Games projected
14.2
Observed pts/gm (history)
10.1
Games of history
59
Age multiplier
1.009
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.3
Projected plays / game
60.1
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.38
OL pass protection
-0.39
OL continuity
72%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
57%
1st-down pass rate
43%
Run friendly
+0.11
Scheme creativity
-0.58
Play action / motion
21% / 48%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
4.15
Top player's share
36%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy low
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
BUF,LV,NYJ
Window matchup
+0.05
Opponents after
CHI,MIA,GB
After matchup
+0.06
Flip edge
-0.00
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.45

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

16

Points

110.4

Per game

6.90

17-gm pace

117

Best / worst

23.8 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
16.8WR324268000
28.8WR345328100
32.5WR722225000
423.8WR28658300
65.5WR349555000
77.2WR288672000
86.4WR386344000
99.1WR2410791000
100.5WR85415000
115.3WR378453000
122.3WR623223000
138.0WR294420100
140.0WR101200000
153.6WR593236000
1614.4WR106584100
176.2WR353362000