Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Rhamondre Stevenson

NE

RB26 · overall #41 · tier 6 · age 28

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Projected points

163

11.9/gm

Value over replacement

69

repl 110

Range

116–209

sd 47

Week

8.8

@ SEA

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
51
Carries
176
Receptions
40
Rec yards
281
Rush yards
730
Rush TD
6.1
Rec TD
1.0
Total TD
7.1
Games projected
13.7
Observed pts/gm (history)
12.8
Games of history
58
Age multiplier
0.915
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.3
Projected plays / game
59.9
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.47
OL pass protection
-0.48
OL continuity
73%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
57%
1st-down pass rate
43%
Run friendly
+0.10
Scheme creativity
-0.59
Play action / motion
21% / 48%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
52
Effective contributors
2.72
Top player's share
49%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.58

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
SEA,PIT,JAX
Window matchup
-0.93
Opponents after
BUF,LV,NYJ
After matchup
+0.50
Flip edge
-1.43
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.46

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

14

Points

146.8

Per game

10.49

17-gm pace

178

Best / worst

33.3 / 1.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
12.7715032120
216.21154055880
31.6418033380
44.193801130
512.7714222130
61.8131801000
714.8188812200
84.91434021150
121.06502150
138.01240033400
157.7650033270
1615.8851132270
1722.2847155551
1833.37131222221