Rashod Bateman

BAL

WR82 · overall #194 · tier 9 · age 26

← back to rankings

Projected points

6.7/gm

Value over replacement

-11

repl 119

Range

44–135

sd 46

Week

7.6

vs TEN

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Per game Season total

Targets / game: 4.4
Carries / game: 0.0
Receptions / game: 2.6
Rec yards / game: 36
Rush yards / game: 0
Rush TD / game: 0.00
Rec TD / game: 0.27
Total TD / game: 0.27
Games projected: 13.4
Observed pts/gm (history): 6.7
Games of history: 50
Age multiplier: 1.009
Usage carryover: 0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 33.9
Projected plays / game: 60.2
Projected pass rate: 53%
OL run block: +0.50
OL pass protection: -0.17
OL continuity: 57%
2TE rate: 45%
3WR rate: 34%
1st-down pass rate: 46%
Run friendly: +0.69
Scheme creativity: +0.62
Play action / motion: 23% / 53%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score: 93
Effective contributors: 2.62
Top player's share: 56%
New play-caller: yes
Variance multiplier: 2.14

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: sell high
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: TEN,ATL,CLE
Window matchup: +0.60
Opponents after: CIN,BUF,JAX
After matchup: -0.23
Flip edge: +0.84
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 13
Playoff schedule (15-17): -0.08

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

36.4

Per game

2.80

17-gm pace

Best / worst

12.3 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds	Re TD
1	1.0	WR97	4	2	10	0
2	1.5	WR98	4	2	15	0
3	12.3	WR14	7	5	63	1
4	2.4	WR68	2	1	24	0
5	0.0	WR100	3	0	0	0
6	0.8	WR88	1	1	8	0
8	5.1	WR45	4	2	51	0
9	7.3	WR32	4	2	13	1
10	3.0	WR59	2	1	10	0
13	0.0	WR108	1	0	0	0
14	2.3	WR62	3	2	23	0
16	0.0	WR118	2	0	0	0
17	0.7	WR101	1	1	7	0