WR
Rashee Rice
KCWR5 · overall #12 · tier 2 · age 26
Projected points
191
17.7/gm
Value over replacement
113
repl 115
Range
145–237
sd 46
Week
11.5
vs DEN
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 126
- Carries
- 5
- Receptions
- 84
- Rec yards
- 1013
- Rush yards
- 21
- Rush TD
- 0.4
- Rec TD
- 7.3
- Total TD
- 7.7
- Games projected
- 10.8
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 16.9
- Games of history
- 28
- Age multiplier
- 1.009
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 32.7
- Projected plays / game
- 63.3
- Projected pass rate
- 59%
- OL run block
- +0.25
- OL pass protection
- +0.05
- OL continuity
- 87%
- 2TE rate
- 41%
- 3WR rate
- 56%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 54%
- Run friendly
- -1.61
- Scheme creativity
- +0.01
- Play action / motion
- 17% / 55%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 4.80
- Top player's share
- 25%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy now, flip wk4
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- DEN,IND,MIA
- Window matchup
- +0.85
- Opponents after
- LV,LAC
- After matchup
- -0.08
- Flip edge
- +0.93
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 5
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.02
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
8
Points
97.1
Per game
12.14
17-gm pace
206
Best / worst
21.4 / 3.4
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 16.2 | 10 | 7 | 42 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 16.5 | 9 | 9 | 93 | 1 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | 14.6 | 7 | 4 | 80 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 11 | 3.8 | 9 | 6 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 16.1 | 12 | 8 | 141 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 21.4 | 12 | 8 | 92 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| 14 | 3.4 | 8 | 4 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 5.1 | 11 | 7 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 0 |