WR
Rashee Rice
KCWR10 · overall #25 · tier 3 · age 26
Projected points
165
14.0/gm
Value over replacement
78
repl 119
Range
118–213
sd 48
Week
11.5
@ LV
The take
written by hand
11.8 games is the entire fade. His 2025 suspension is deliberately kept out of the durability read, so the 9.2 targets a game is a clean rate rather than a punished one.
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 9.3
- Carries / game
- 0.4
- Receptions / game
- 6.1
- Rec yards / game
- 74
- Rush yards / game
- 1
- Rush TD / game
- 0.03
- Rec TD / game
- 0.53
- Total TD / game
- 0.56
- Games projected
- 11.8
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 16.9
- Games of history
- 28
- Age multiplier
- 1.009
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 32.7
- Projected plays / game
- 63.2
- Projected pass rate
- 59%
- OL run block
- +0.13
- OL pass protection
- -0.04
- OL continuity
- 65%
- 2TE rate
- 41%
- 3WR rate
- 56%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 54%
- Run friendly
- -1.61
- Scheme creativity
- +0.04
- Play action / motion
- 17% / 55%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 4.80
- Top player's share
- 25%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- sell high
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- LV,LAC
- Window matchup
- +0.36
- Opponents after
- SEA,DEN,NYJ
- After matchup
- -0.24
- Flip edge
- +0.60
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 5
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.27
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
8
Points
97.1
Per game
12.14
17-gm pace
206
Best / worst
21.4 / 3.4
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 16.2 | WR9 | 10 | 7 | 42 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 16.5 | WR2 | 9 | 9 | 93 | 1 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | 14.6 | WR9 | 7 | 4 | 80 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 11 | 3.8 | WR51 | 9 | 6 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 16.1 | WR9 | 12 | 8 | 141 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 21.4 | WR3 | 12 | 8 | 92 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| 14 | 3.4 | WR46 | 8 | 4 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 5.1 | WR47 | 11 | 7 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 0 |