Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Raheim Sanders

CLE

RB62 · overall #208 · tier 9 · age 24

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Projected points

58

5.6/gm

Value over replacement

-17

repl 116

Range

52–64

sd 6

Week

3.5

vs PIT

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
1.5
Carries / game
7.5
Receptions / game
1.2
Rec yards / game
8
Rush yards / game
29
Rush TD / game
0.21
Rec TD / game
0.01
Total TD / game
0.22
Games projected
10.3
Observed pts/gm (history)
5.1
Games of history
4
Age multiplier
1.022
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.4
Projected plays / game
61.0
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-1.18
OL pass protection
-1.79
OL continuity
28%
2TE rate
37%
3WR rate
63%
1st-down pass rate
44%
Run friendly
+1.14
Scheme creativity
-0.09
Play action / motion
23% / 44%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, clear lead
Ambiguity score
85
Effective contributors
2.13
Top player's share
65%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
1.91

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
PIT,NYJ,BAL
Window matchup
-0.71
Opponents after
TEN,PIT,NO
After matchup
-0.92
Flip edge
+0.21
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.37

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

4

Points

17.3

Per game

4.32

17-gm pace

74

Best / worst

6.3 / 3.1

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
16.3RB313310000
164.6RB45114201140
173.1RB47821021100
183.3RB4852601170