Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Phil Mafah

NYG

RB89 · overall #312 · tier – · age 23

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Projected points

27

2.9/gm

Value over replacement

-41

repl 116

Range

0–54

sd 28

Week

0.7

vs ARI

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
0.9
Carries / game
3.2
Receptions / game
0.7
Rec yards / game
5
Rush yards / game
13
Rush TD / game
0.10
Rec TD / game
0.01
Total TD / game
0.11
Games projected
9.3
Observed pts/gm (history)
10.9
Games of history
1
Age multiplier
1.045
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.3
Projected plays / game
62.6
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.24
OL pass protection
-0.01
OL continuity
75%
2TE rate
32%
3WR rate
67%
1st-down pass rate
47%
Run friendly
-0.84
Scheme creativity
+0.09
Play action / motion
22% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
94
Effective contributors
2.83
Top player's share
44%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.24

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
ARI,WAS,NO
Window matchup
+0.73
Opponents after
HOU,PHI
After matchup
-0.60
Flip edge
+1.34
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.65

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

1

Points

10.9

Per game

10.90

17-gm pace

185

Best / worst

10.9 / 10.9

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
1810.9RB20518122110