Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Payne Durham

TB

TE112 · overall #513 · tier – · age 26

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Projected points

30

2.0/gm

Value over replacement

-72

repl 112

Range

14–45

sd 16

Week

0.8

vs GB

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
21
Carries
1
Receptions
14
Rec yards
149
Rush yards
2
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
1.2
Total TD
1.2
Games projected
14.6
Observed pts/gm (history)
1.8
Games of history
22
Age multiplier
1.030
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.6
Projected plays / game
62.1
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+0.87
OL pass protection
+1.31
OL continuity
80%
2TE rate
22%
3WR rate
72%
1st-down pass rate
44%
Run friendly
+0.51
Scheme creativity
-0.17
Play action / motion
17% / 58%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
2
Effective contributors
1.12
Top player's share
94%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.13

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
GB,DAL,PIT
Window matchup
-0.15
Opponents after
CAR,ATL,CHI
After matchup
+0.03
Flip edge
-0.18
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.01

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

8

Points

1.6

Per game

0.20

17-gm pace

3

Best / worst

1.6 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
10.0TE610000
20.0TE571000
40.0TE560000
50.0TE580000
100.0TE551000
131.6TE4711110
140.0TE580000
180.0TE631000