RB
Patrick Ricard
NYGRB127 · overall #427 · tier –
Projected points
45
3.2/gm
Value over replacement
-58
repl 116
Range
24–66
sd 21
Week
0.8
vs ARI
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 1.4
- Carries / game
- 3.5
- Receptions / game
- 1.0
- Rec yards / game
- 8
- Rush yards / game
- 12
- Rush TD / game
- 0.03
- Rec TD / game
- 0.08
- Total TD / game
- 0.11
- Games projected
- 14.1
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 1.1
- Games of history
- 35
- Age multiplier
- 1.000
- Usage carryover
- 0.90
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 32.3
- Projected plays / game
- 62.6
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- +0.24
- OL pass protection
- -0.01
- OL continuity
- 75%
- 2TE rate
- 32%
- 3WR rate
- 67%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 47%
- Run friendly
- -0.84
- Scheme creativity
- +0.09
- Play action / motion
- 22% / 40%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- new head coach, committee
- Ambiguity score
- 94
- Effective contributors
- 2.83
- Top player's share
- 44%
- New play-caller
- yes
- Variance multiplier
- 2.24
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy now, flip wk7
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- ARI,WAS,NO
- Window matchup
- +0.73
- Opponents after
- HOU,PHI
- After matchup
- -0.60
- Flip edge
- +1.34
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 8
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.65
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
5
Points
1.1
Per game
0.22
17-gm pace
4
Best / worst
0.8 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.3 | RB64 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 0.0 | RB74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | 0.0 | RB71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 0.0 | RB81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 0.8 | RB76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 |