Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Omarion Hampton

LAC

RB12 · overall #10 · tier 4 · age 23

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Projected points

198

16.4/gm

Value over replacement

116

repl 110

Range

150–247

sd 49

Week

15.1

vs ARI

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
64
Carries
228
Receptions
51
Rec yards
360
Rush yards
966
Rush TD
6.0
Rec TD
0.7
Total TD
6.7
Games projected
12.1
Observed pts/gm (history)
15.1
Games of history
9
Age multiplier
1.045
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.4
Projected plays / game
61.1
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+0.46
OL pass protection
+0.58
OL continuity
37%
2TE rate
16%
3WR rate
71%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
-0.07
Scheme creativity
+0.88
Play action / motion
25% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
83
Effective contributors
3.10
Top player's share
43%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk4
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
ARI,LV,BUF
Window matchup
+1.19
Opponents after
SEA,DEN,KC
After matchup
-0.96
Flip edge
+2.15
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.06

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

9

Points

119.7

Per game

13.30

17-gm pace

226

Best / worst

25.0 / 3.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
17.11548022130
23.082402110
321.91970176590
425.012128155370
510.01244066260
1413.71356022111
157.0156101140
1616.01685121100
1716.01429188310