RB
Ollie Gordon II
MIARB37 · overall #102 · tier 7 · age 22
Projected points
116
8.4/gm
Value over replacement
15
repl 116
Range
83–149
sd 33
Week
5.5
@ MIN
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 2.8
- Carries / game
- 9.3
- Receptions / game
- 2.1
- Rec yards / game
- 14
- Rush yards / game
- 33
- Rush TD / game
- 0.25
- Rec TD / game
- 0.08
- Total TD / game
- 0.33
- Games projected
- 13.9
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 3.2
- Games of history
- 17
- Age multiplier
- 1.067
- Usage carryover
- 0.90
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 35.6
- Projected plays / game
- 60.1
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- -1.09
- OL pass protection
- -0.47
- OL continuity
- 69%
- 2TE rate
- 25%
- 3WR rate
- 46%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 42%
- Run friendly
- -0.06
- Scheme creativity
- +1.42
- Play action / motion
- 26% / 73%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- new head coach, clear lead
- Ambiguity score
- 87
- Effective contributors
- 2.15
- Top player's share
- 63%
- New play-caller
- yes
- Variance multiplier
- 1.92
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- MIN,CIN
- Window matchup
- -1.10
- Opponents after
- NYJ,NE,DET
- After matchup
- +0.14
- Flip edge
- -1.24
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 6
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.36
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
17
Points
47.1
Per game
2.77
17-gm pace
47
Best / worst
12.6 / -0.3
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.3 | RB74 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 2 | 1.3 | RB62 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 3 | 9.8 | RB19 | 9 | 38 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 1.0 | RB63 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | -0.2 | RB85 | 3 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 0.2 | RB64 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 7 | 1.3 | RB56 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 8 | 12.6 | RB16 | 10 | 46 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 1 |
| 9 | 0.9 | RB54 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 | -0.3 | RB80 | 1 | -3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 10.5 | RB20 | 9 | 45 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 1.0 | RB67 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | 7.7 | RB29 | 5 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 0.0 | RB80 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | -0.1 | RB90 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 0.0 | RB81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 1.1 | RB67 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |