Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Noah Fant

NO

TE63 · overall #352 · tier – · age 28

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Projected points

54

3.7/gm

Value over replacement

-47

repl 112

Range

27–81

sd 27

Week

7.2

vs ATL

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
2.7
Carries / game
0.1
Receptions / game
2.1
Rec yards / game
20
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.11
Total TD / game
0.11
Games projected
14.5
Observed pts/gm (history)
6.3
Games of history
59
Age multiplier
0.956
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
31.6
Projected plays / game
62.8
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-0.21
OL pass protection
+0.11
OL continuity
76%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
69%
1st-down pass rate
47%
Run friendly
-0.26
Scheme creativity
-0.29
Play action / motion
19% / 59%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
11
Effective contributors
1.85
Top player's share
72%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.29

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
ATL,MIN,NYG
Window matchup
-0.09
Opponents after
PIT,CLE
After matchup
+0.03
Flip edge
-0.12
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.65

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

13

Points

40.8

Per game

3.14

17-gm pace

53

Best / worst

10.4 / -1.5

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
18.6TE454261
22.8TE3143280
30.6TE4955260
62.7TE3044270
710.4TE944441
84.1TE1733410
98.8TE932281
111.6TE3765360
120.9TE421190
130.3TE572130
141.5TE3621150
170.0TE591000
18-1.5TE741150