Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Nick Vannett

BAL

TE86 · overall #445 · tier – · age 33

← back to rankings

Projected points

28

2.2/gm

Value over replacement

-61

repl 112

Range

0–55

sd 27

Week

0.8

vs TEN

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
1.4
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
1.1
Rec yards / game
10
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.11
Total TD / game
0.11
Games projected
12.7
Observed pts/gm (history)
3.7
Games of history
18
Age multiplier
0.842
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.9
Projected plays / game
60.2
Projected pass rate
53%
OL run block
+0.50
OL pass protection
-0.17
OL continuity
57%
2TE rate
45%
3WR rate
34%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
+0.69
Scheme creativity
+0.62
Play action / motion
23% / 53%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach
Ambiguity score
91
Effective contributors
2.35
Top player's share
57%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.01

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
TEN,ATL,CLE
Window matchup
-0.06
Opponents after
CIN,BUF,JAX
After matchup
+0.33
Flip edge
-0.39
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
13
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.11

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Nick Vannett — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.