Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Nate Carter

KC

RB98 · overall #332 · tier – · age 24

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Projected points

27

2.8/gm

Value over replacement

-44

repl 116

Range

23–31

sd 4

Week

0.8

@ LV

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
0.7
Carries / game
3.9
Receptions / game
0.5
Rec yards / game
4
Rush yards / game
17
Rush TD / game
0.06
Rec TD / game
0.01
Total TD / game
0.07
Games projected
9.7
Observed pts/gm (history)
1.8
Games of history
2
Age multiplier
1.022
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.7
Projected plays / game
63.2
Projected pass rate
59%
OL run block
+0.13
OL pass protection
-0.04
OL continuity
65%
2TE rate
41%
3WR rate
56%
1st-down pass rate
54%
Run friendly
-1.61
Scheme creativity
+0.04
Play action / motion
17% / 55%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
50
Effective contributors
2.66
Top player's share
49%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.56

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
sell high
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
LV,LAC
Window matchup
+0.58
Opponents after
SEA,DEN,NYJ
After matchup
-0.29
Flip edge
+0.87
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
5
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.23

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

2

Points

4.0

Per game

2.00

17-gm pace

34

Best / worst

2.6 / 1.4

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
32.6RB5874600000
81.4RB5821400000