Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

TE

Nate Boerkircher

JAXROOKIE R2

TE49 · overall #371 · tier

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Projected points

50

3.3/gm

Value over replacement

-54

repl 111

Range

32–68

sd 18

Week

3.0

vs CLE

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
35
Carries
0
Receptions
25
Rec yards
264
Rush yards
0
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
1.9
Total TD
1.9
Games projected
14.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
Games of history
0
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.2
Projected plays / game
61.1
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.83
OL pass protection
-0.31
OL continuity
100%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
73%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.06
Scheme creativity
-0.04
Play action / motion
23% / 51%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
46
Effective contributors
2.55
Top player's share
57%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.53

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
CLE,DEN,NE
Window matchup
-0.23
Opponents after
CIN,PHI,HOU
After matchup
+0.20
Flip edge
-0.43
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.15

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Nate Boerkircher — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.