WR
Mitchell Tinsley
HOUWR165 · overall #386 · tier – · age 27
Projected points
59
3.9/gm
Value over replacement
-53
repl 119
Range
24–93
sd 35
Week
1.8
vs DAL
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 2.9
- Carries / game
- 0.1
- Receptions / game
- 1.6
- Rec yards / game
- 20
- Rush yards / game
- 0
- Rush TD / game
- 0.00
- Rec TD / game
- 0.11
- Total TD / game
- 0.11
- Games projected
- 15.0
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 4.0
- Games of history
- 8
- Age multiplier
- 0.939
- Usage carryover
- 0.89
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 32.9
- Projected plays / game
- 61.9
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- -1.37
- OL pass protection
- -1.19
- OL continuity
- 64%
- 2TE rate
- 20%
- 3WR rate
- 76%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 46%
- Run friendly
- -0.36
- Scheme creativity
- -0.30
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 53%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 4.55
- Top player's share
- 35%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy now, flip wk7
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- DAL,TEN,JAX
- Window matchup
- +0.44
- Opponents after
- NYG,LAC
- After matchup
- -0.52
- Flip edge
- +0.96
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 8
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.86
2025 game log
full season · Full PPR
Games
8
Points
31.6
Per game
3.95
17-gm pace
67
Best / worst
10.9 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 8.3 | WR60 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 0.0 | WR120 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 1.9 | WR100 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 3.7 | WR67 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 10.9 | WR30 | 6 | 2 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 4.2 | WR73 | 9 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 2.6 | WR88 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 0.0 | WR119 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |