TE
Mitchell Evans
CARTE116 · overall #520 · tier – · age 23
Projected points
31
2.1/gm
Value over replacement
-74
repl 112
Range
9–54
sd 23
Week
2.6
vs DET
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 22
- Carries
- 1
- Receptions
- 16
- Rec yards
- 153
- Rush yards
- 1
- Rush TD
- 0.0
- Rec TD
- 1.2
- Total TD
- 1.2
- Games projected
- 15.0
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 3.4
- Games of history
- 14
- Age multiplier
- 1.060
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.7
- Projected plays / game
- 60.0
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- +0.33
- OL pass protection
- +0.21
- OL continuity
- 71%
- 2TE rate
- 25%
- 3WR rate
- 73%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 40%
- Run friendly
- +0.68
- Scheme creativity
- -0.67
- Play action / motion
- 21% / 40%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 59
- Effective contributors
- 3.10
- Top player's share
- 37%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.71
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- DET,PHI
- Window matchup
- -0.38
- Opponents after
- TB,GB,DEN
- After matchup
- -0.01
- Flip edge
- -0.37
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 5
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.01
2025 game log
full season · Half PPR
Games
14
Points
38.7
Per game
2.76
17-gm pace
47
Best / worst
9.8 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.4 | TE44 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| 3 | 1.4 | TE45 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| 4 | 9.8 | TE10 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 1 |
| 5 | 6.9 | TE20 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 6 | 2.6 | TE38 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 0 |
| 7 | 3.4 | TE30 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 | 0.0 | TE55 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 3.8 | TE27 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 | 0.0 | TE59 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 3.5 | TE31 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 | 0.0 | TE59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 3.8 | TE31 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 | 1.1 | TE51 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 | 1.0 | TE55 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |