TE
Mitchell Evans
CARTE116 · overall #520 · tier – · age 23
Projected points
31
2.1/gm
Value over replacement
-74
repl 112
Range
9–54
sd 23
Week
2.6
vs DET
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 1.5
- Carries / game
- 0.1
- Receptions / game
- 1.1
- Rec yards / game
- 10
- Rush yards / game
- 0
- Rush TD / game
- 0.00
- Rec TD / game
- 0.08
- Total TD / game
- 0.08
- Games projected
- 15.0
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 3.4
- Games of history
- 14
- Age multiplier
- 1.060
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.7
- Projected plays / game
- 60.0
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- +0.33
- OL pass protection
- +0.21
- OL continuity
- 71%
- 2TE rate
- 25%
- 3WR rate
- 73%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 40%
- Run friendly
- +0.68
- Scheme creativity
- -0.67
- Play action / motion
- 21% / 40%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 59
- Effective contributors
- 3.10
- Top player's share
- 37%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.71
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- DET,PHI
- Window matchup
- -0.38
- Opponents after
- TB,GB,DEN
- After matchup
- -0.01
- Flip edge
- -0.37
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 5
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.01
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
14
Points
29.2
Per game
2.09
17-gm pace
35
Best / worst
8.3 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.9 | TE42 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| 3 | 0.9 | TE43 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| 4 | 8.3 | TE11 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 1 |
| 5 | 6.4 | TE18 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 6 | 2.1 | TE35 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 0 |
| 7 | 2.4 | TE29 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 | 0.0 | TE54 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 2.8 | TE24 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 | 0.0 | TE58 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 2.0 | TE35 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 | 0.0 | TE59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 2.3 | TE33 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 | 0.6 | TE51 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 | 0.5 | TE52 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |