Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Mike Gesicki

CIN

TE47 · overall #277 · tier – · age 30

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Projected points

67

4.6/gm

Value over replacement

-35

repl 112

Range

25–110

sd 43

Week

7.9

vs JAX

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
3.6
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
2.5
Rec yards / game
24
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.15
Total TD / game
0.15
Games projected
14.6
Observed pts/gm (history)
6.5
Games of history
60
Age multiplier
0.911
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.7
Projected plays / game
60.8
Projected pass rate
60%
OL run block
-0.73
OL pass protection
-1.39
OL continuity
98%
2TE rate
40%
3WR rate
58%
1st-down pass rate
54%
Run friendly
-1.75
Scheme creativity
-0.67
Play action / motion
17% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
3.76
Top player's share
33%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
sell high
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
JAX,MIA
Window matchup
+0.74
Opponents after
BAL,TEN,ATL
After matchup
-0.72
Flip edge
+1.45
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
6
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.62

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

12

Points

70.7

Per game

5.89

17-gm pace

100

Best / worst

20.6 / 1.6

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
12.4TE4231140
24.8TE3643180
31.6TE503160
41.8TE491180
53.5TE3752150
127.5TE1864350
133.9TE3442190
1420.6TE266861
152.1TE5021110
1612.5TE1343351
176.7TE2622470
183.3TE4022130