Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Michael Mayer

LV

TE50 · overall #292 · tier – · age 25

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Projected points

52

4.0/gm

Value over replacement

-38

repl 112

Range

14–90

sd 38

Week

5.0

vs KC

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
3.4
Carries / game
0.1
Receptions / game
2.4
Rec yards / game
22
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.09
Total TD / game
0.09
Games projected
12.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
5.0
Games of history
37
Age multiplier
1.050
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.6
Projected plays / game
60.9
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-1.08
OL pass protection
-0.32
OL continuity
50%
2TE rate
42%
3WR rate
58%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
+0.59
Scheme creativity
-0.05
Play action / motion
22% / 53%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach
Ambiguity score
92
Effective contributors
2.41
Top player's share
55%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.04

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
KC,NE,BUF
Window matchup
-0.43
Opponents after
LA,NYJ,SF
After matchup
-0.33
Flip edge
-0.11
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
13
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.37

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

13

Points

73.8

Per game

5.68

17-gm pace

97

Best / worst

17.9 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
17.8TE2044380
22.9TE392290
30.0TE581000
616.0TE675501
72.0TE4121100
95.6TE3373260
105.2TE2743220
114.3TE3343130
122.4TE3611140
150.0TE590000
162.0TE4931100
1717.9TE4109890
187.7TE1953470