Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Max Bredeson

MINROOKIE R5

RB146 · overall #596 · tier – · age 23

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Projected points

15

1.0/gm

Value over replacement

-93

repl 116

Range

0–33

sd 18

Week

0.5

vs MIA

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
0.3
Carries / game
1.2
Receptions / game
0.2
Rec yards / game
2
Rush yards / game
5
Rush TD / game
0.04
Rec TD / game
0.01
Total TD / game
0.04
Games projected
14.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
–
Games of history
0
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.1
Projected plays / game
61.1
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-0.05
OL pass protection
+0.10
OL continuity
76%
2TE rate
27%
3WR rate
63%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.76
Scheme creativity
+0.22
Play action / motion
26% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
51
Effective contributors
2.70
Top player's share
46%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.58

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy low
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
MIA,NO
Window matchup
+0.54
Opponents after
IND,DET,BUF
After matchup
+0.33
Flip edge
+0.21
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
6
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.87

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Max Bredeson — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.