Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Maurice Alexander

CHI

WR197 · overall #460 · tier – · age 29

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Projected points

7

0.7/gm

Value over replacement

-63

repl 119

Range

1–12

sd 5

Week

0.2

vs NYJ

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
0.5
Carries / game
0.1
Receptions / game
0.3
Rec yards / game
4
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.02
Total TD / game
0.02
Games projected
9.4
Observed pts/gm (history)
0.1
Games of history
5
Age multiplier
0.876
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.8
Projected plays / game
62.5
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
+1.36
OL pass protection
+1.05
OL continuity
82%
2TE rate
36%
3WR rate
64%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
+0.61
Scheme creativity
+0.58
Play action / motion
26% / 54%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
4.26
Top player's share
29%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
NYJ,GB,ATL
Window matchup
+0.54
Opponents after
NE,SEA,TB
After matchup
+0.10
Flip edge
+0.43
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.33

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Maurice Alexander — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.