Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

QB

Mason Rudolph

PIT

QB55 · overall #575 · tier – · age 31

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Projected points

59

6.4/gm

Value over replacement

-85

repl 250

Range

16–102

sd 43

Week

1.6

@ CLE

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Pass attempts / game
16.3
Pass yards / game
115
Pass TD / game
0.71
Carries / game
1.1
Rush yards / game
5
Rush TD / game
0.03
Games projected
9.2
Observed pts/gm (history)
8.4
Games of history
17
Age multiplier
0.974
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.5
Projected plays / game
61.4
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.51
OL pass protection
+0.02
OL continuity
65%
2TE rate
45%
3WR rate
52%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
-0.86
Scheme creativity
-0.29
Play action / motion
21% / 51%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach
Ambiguity score
66
Effective contributors
–
Top player's share
–
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
CLE,IND,TB
Window matchup
-0.06
Opponents after
NO,CLE
After matchup
-0.18
Flip edge
+0.12
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
9
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.11

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

5

Points

15.0

Per game

3.00

17-gm pace

51

Best / worst

9.0 / -2.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankCmpAttPa YdsPa TDINTRu AttRu YdsRu TD
20.5QB38221200000
60.0QB3100000300
119.0QB241216127101-10
127.5QB23243117111370
13-2.0QB3603001000