TE
Mark Andrews
BALTE12 · overall #111 · tier 4 · age 30
Projected points
114
8.0/gm
Value over replacement
15
repl 111
Range
57–171
sd 57
Week
8.0
@ IND
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 70
- Carries
- 4
- Receptions
- 50
- Rec yards
- 529
- Rush yards
- 12
- Rush TD
- 0.3
- Rec TD
- 5.5
- Total TD
- 5.7
- Games projected
- 14.3
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 10.0
- Games of history
- 59
- Age multiplier
- 0.911
- Usage carryover
- 0.90
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 33.9
- Projected plays / game
- 60.0
- Projected pass rate
- 53%
- OL run block
- +0.40
- OL pass protection
- -0.27
- OL continuity
- 58%
- 2TE rate
- 45%
- 3WR rate
- 34%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 46%
- Run friendly
- +0.68
- Scheme creativity
- +0.62
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 53%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- new head coach
- Ambiguity score
- 91
- Effective contributors
- 2.35
- Top player's share
- 57%
- New play-caller
- yes
- Variance multiplier
- 2.01
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy now, flip wk4
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- IND,NO,DAL
- Window matchup
- +0.98
- Opponents after
- TEN,ATL,CLE
- After matchup
- -0.19
- Flip edge
- +1.16
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 13
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.13
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
17
Points
83.0
Per game
4.88
17-gm pace
83
Best / worst
21.1 / 0.4
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 2 | 0.4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 3 | 21.1 | 6 | 6 | 91 | 2 |
| 4 | 3.0 | 8 | 7 | 30 | 0 |
| 5 | 2.2 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 0 |
| 6 | 2.6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 0 |
| 8 | 3.4 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 0 |
| 9 | 14.6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 2 |
| 10 | 7.4 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 1 |
| 11 | 12.7 | 5 | 3 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 | 1.1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 | 4.7 | 6 | 4 | 47 | 0 |
| 14 | 0.9 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 | 1.8 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 | 2.4 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 | 2.8 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 | 1.4 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 0 |