TE
Mark Andrews
BALTE11 · overall #107 · tier 3 · age 31
Projected points
106
7.9/gm
Value over replacement
13
repl 112
Range
46–167
sd 61
Week
7.2
vs TEN
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 4.9
- Carries / game
- 0.3
- Receptions / game
- 3.5
- Rec yards / game
- 37
- Rush yards / game
- 1
- Rush TD / game
- 0.02
- Rec TD / game
- 0.37
- Total TD / game
- 0.39
- Games projected
- 13.4
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 10.0
- Games of history
- 59
- Age multiplier
- 0.888
- Usage carryover
- 0.90
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 33.9
- Projected plays / game
- 60.2
- Projected pass rate
- 53%
- OL run block
- +0.50
- OL pass protection
- -0.17
- OL continuity
- 57%
- 2TE rate
- 45%
- 3WR rate
- 34%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 46%
- Run friendly
- +0.69
- Scheme creativity
- +0.62
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 53%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- new head coach
- Ambiguity score
- 91
- Effective contributors
- 2.35
- Top player's share
- 57%
- New play-caller
- yes
- Variance multiplier
- 2.01
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- TEN,ATL,CLE
- Window matchup
- -0.06
- Opponents after
- CIN,BUF,JAX
- After matchup
- +0.33
- Flip edge
- -0.39
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 13
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.11
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
17
Points
83.0
Per game
4.88
17-gm pace
83
Best / worst
21.1 / 0.4
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.5 | TE49 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 2 | 0.4 | TE54 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 3 | 21.1 | TE1 | 6 | 6 | 91 | 2 |
| 4 | 3.0 | TE26 | 8 | 7 | 30 | 0 |
| 5 | 2.2 | TE31 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 0 |
| 6 | 2.6 | TE33 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 0 |
| 8 | 3.4 | TE22 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 0 |
| 9 | 14.6 | TE5 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 2 |
| 10 | 7.4 | TE12 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 1 |
| 11 | 12.7 | TE4 | 5 | 3 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 | 1.1 | TE39 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 | 4.7 | TE17 | 6 | 4 | 47 | 0 |
| 14 | 0.9 | TE43 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 | 1.8 | TE37 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 | 2.4 | TE32 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 | 2.8 | TE28 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 | 1.4 | TE39 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 0 |