Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Malik Washington

MIA

WR77 · overall #180 · tier 9 · age 25

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Projected points

100

6.9/gm

Value over replacement

-8

repl 119

Range

64–136

sd 36

Week

4.8

@ MIN

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
75
Carries
10
Receptions
49
Rec yards
505
Rush yards
53
Rush TD
0.6
Rec TD
2.2
Total TD
2.8
Games projected
14.6
Observed pts/gm (history)
6.1
Games of history
31
Age multiplier
1.026
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
35.6
Projected plays / game
60.1
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-1.09
OL pass protection
-0.47
OL continuity
69%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
46%
1st-down pass rate
42%
Run friendly
-0.06
Scheme creativity
+1.42
Play action / motion
26% / 73%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
98
Effective contributors
3.82
Top player's share
41%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
MIN,CIN
Window matchup
-1.52
Opponents after
NYJ,NE,DET
After matchup
+0.40
Flip edge
-1.91
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
6
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.70

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

17

Points

70.7

Per game

4.16

17-gm pace

71

Best / worst

9.6 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
12.9WR675220019
28.5WR352120323
33.2WR6153120220
42.1WR743213028
50.0WR100540000
62.3WR675422011
73.0WR618530000
89.6WR205436100
94.1WR5333480313
107.3WR32329114
114.2WR443342000
133.0WR555430000
141.0WR834310000
151.0WR901110000
169.2WR251123019
170.5WR107314011
188.8WR174361222