Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Malik Washington

MIA

WR77 · overall #180 · tier 9 · age 25

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Projected points

100

6.9/gm

Value over replacement

-8

repl 119

Range

64–136

sd 36

Week

4.8

@ MIN

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
75
Carries
10
Receptions
49
Rec yards
505
Rush yards
53
Rush TD
0.6
Rec TD
2.2
Total TD
2.8
Games projected
14.6
Observed pts/gm (history)
6.1
Games of history
31
Age multiplier
1.026
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
35.6
Projected plays / game
60.1
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-1.09
OL pass protection
-0.47
OL continuity
69%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
46%
1st-down pass rate
42%
Run friendly
-0.06
Scheme creativity
+1.42
Play action / motion
26% / 73%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
98
Effective contributors
3.82
Top player's share
41%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
MIN,CIN
Window matchup
-1.52
Opponents after
NYJ,NE,DET
After matchup
+0.40
Flip edge
-1.91
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
6
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.70

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

17

Points

116.7

Per game

6.86

17-gm pace

117

Best / worst

13.6 / 1.5

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
14.9WR685220019
29.5WR502120323
36.2WR6053120220
44.1WR753213028
54.0WR71540000
66.3WR525422011
78.0WR418530000
813.6WR255436100
97.1WR5233480313
109.3WR37329114
117.2WR443342000
137.0WR485430000
144.0WR654310000
152.0WR921110000
1610.2WR341123019
171.5WR106314011
1811.8WR204361222