Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Malik Nabers

NYG

WR26 · overall #35 · tier 6 · age 23

← back to rankings

Projected points

144

15.0/gm

Value over replacement

75

repl 115

Range

56–233

sd 89

Week

9.9

vs DAL

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
108
Carries
2
Receptions
66
Rec yards
803
Rush yards
8
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
5.2
Total TD
5.2
Games projected
9.6
Observed pts/gm (history)
17.1
Games of history
19
Age multiplier
1.052
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
31.8
Projected plays / game
62.5
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
+0.42
OL pass protection
-0.21
OL continuity
75%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
68%
1st-down pass rate
48%
Run friendly
-0.80
Scheme creativity
+0.10
Play action / motion
22% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
98
Effective contributors
3.53
Top player's share
47%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
DAL,LA,TEN
Window matchup
+0.65
Opponents after
ARI,WAS,NO
After matchup
+1.01
Flip edge
-0.36
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.53

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

4

Points

57.1

Per game

14.28

17-gm pace

243

Best / worst

37.7 / 3.3

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
112.112571000
237.7139167200
33.37213000
44.03220000