Malik Heath

ATL

WR201 · overall #465 · tier – · age 25

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Projected points

2.3/gm

Value over replacement

-64

repl 119

Range

2–56

sd 27

Week

0.8

@ NO

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Per game Season total

Targets / game: 1.6
Carries / game: 0.0
Receptions / game: 1.1
Rec yards / game: 12
Rush yards / game: 0
Rush TD / game: 0.00
Rec TD / game: 0.09
Total TD / game: 0.09
Games projected: 12.5
Observed pts/gm (history): 3.1
Games of history: 24
Age multiplier: 1.026
Usage carryover: 0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 33.6
Projected plays / game: 61.7
Projected pass rate: 56%
OL run block: +0.05
OL pass protection: +0.17
OL continuity: 82%
2TE rate: 29%
3WR rate: 64%
1st-down pass rate: 40%
Run friendly: +0.35
Scheme creativity: -0.20
Play action / motion: 17% / 66%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: committee
Ambiguity score: 90
Effective contributors: 3.77
Top player's share: 41%
New play-caller: no
Variance multiplier: 2.00

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: NO,BAL,CHI
Window matchup: +0.29
Opponents after: SF,TB,CIN
After matchup: -0.28
Flip edge: +0.57
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 11
Playoff schedule (15-17): +0.24

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

14.6

Per game

2.09

17-gm pace

Best / worst

5.9 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds
2	4.7	WR81	1	1	37
3	0.0	WR120	0	0	0
4	1.9	WR100	1	1	9
7	0.0	WR103	0	0	0
8	5.9	WR58	3	3	29
9	2.1	WR84	1	1	11
13	0.0	WR109	1	0	0