QB
Mac Jones
SFQB47 · overall #531 · tier – · age 28
Projected points
82
8.2/gm
Value over replacement
-75
repl 250
Range
44–120
sd 38
Week
2.4
vs DEN
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Pass attempts / game
- 21.1
- Pass yards / game
- 145
- Pass TD / game
- 0.83
- Carries / game
- 1.6
- Rush yards / game
- 6
- Rush TD / game
- 0.03
- Games projected
- 10.0
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 10.8
- Games of history
- 46
- Age multiplier
- 1.012
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 35.5
- Projected plays / game
- 59.5
- Projected pass rate
- 56%
- OL run block
- -0.01
- OL pass protection
- -0.56
- OL continuity
- 78%
- 2TE rate
- 17%
- 3WR rate
- 45%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 46%
- Run friendly
- +0.64
- Scheme creativity
- +0.36
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 70%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- settled
- Ambiguity score
- 24
- Effective contributors
- –
- Top player's share
- –
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.34
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- DEN,SEA,WAS
- Window matchup
- -0.19
- Opponents after
- ATL,LV
- After matchup
- -0.01
- Flip edge
- -0.18
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 8
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -1.02
2025 game log
full season · Half PPR
Games
11
Points
130.0
Per game
11.82
17-gm pace
201
Best / worst
23.1 / -0.3
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Cmp | Att | Pa Yds | Pa TD | INT | Ru Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 21.8 | QB8 | 26 | 39 | 279 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 3 | 13.3 | QB17 | 27 | 41 | 284 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 5 | 22.2 | QB10 | 33 | 49 | 342 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| 6 | 11.2 | QB22 | 27 | 39 | 347 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 0 |
| 7 | 5.2 | QB26 | 17 | 26 | 152 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
| 8 | 18.0 | QB14 | 19 | 32 | 193 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 0 |
| 9 | 15.8 | QB17 | 19 | 24 | 235 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 | 23.1 | QB6 | 33 | 39 | 319 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | -0.3 | QB37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 13 | 0.2 | QB33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | -0.3 | QB42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |