WR
Luke McCaffrey
WASWR168 · overall #391 · tier – · age 25
Projected points
44
3.4/gm
Value over replacement
-53
repl 119
Range
16–72
sd 28
Week
1.2
vs IND
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 2.1
- Carries / game
- 0.1
- Receptions / game
- 1.4
- Rec yards / game
- 17
- Rush yards / game
- 1
- Rush TD / game
- 0.00
- Rec TD / game
- 0.14
- Total TD / game
- 0.14
- Games projected
- 13.1
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 4.4
- Games of history
- 22
- Age multiplier
- 1.026
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 33.8
- Projected plays / game
- 60.9
- Projected pass rate
- 56%
- OL run block
- -0.49
- OL pass protection
- -0.84
- OL continuity
- 84%
- 2TE rate
- 31%
- 3WR rate
- 67%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 45%
- Run friendly
- -0.19
- Scheme creativity
- -0.16
- Play action / motion
- 20% / 50%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 4.70
- Top player's share
- 36%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy low
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- IND,NYG,SF
- Window matchup
- -0.05
- Opponents after
- PHI,LA
- After matchup
- -0.59
- Flip edge
- +0.54
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 7
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.41
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
9
Points
40.3
Per game
4.48
17-gm pace
76
Best / worst
11.6 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.0 | WR115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 3.9 | WR69 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 11.6 | WR19 | 3 | 3 | 56 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 8.1 | WR28 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 5.0 | WR50 | 2 | 1 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 9.3 | WR23 | 1 | 1 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 0.0 | WR101 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 2.4 | WR66 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 0.0 | WR96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |