Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Lucas Krull

DEN

TE56 · overall #318 · tier – · age 28

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Projected points

28

2.8/gm

Value over replacement

-41

repl 112

Range

16–41

sd 13

Week

0.7

@ SF

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
2.3
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
1.6
Rec yards / game
16
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.07
Total TD / game
0.07
Games projected
10.0
Observed pts/gm (history)
3.1
Games of history
19
Age multiplier
0.956
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.2
Projected plays / game
62.2
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+1.17
OL pass protection
+1.48
OL continuity
98%
2TE rate
23%
3WR rate
72%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
-0.37
Scheme creativity
+0.15
Play action / motion
25% / 43%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
32
Effective contributors
2.02
Top player's share
67%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.35

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
SF,LAC,SEA
Window matchup
-0.26
Opponents after
ARI,KC,CAR
After matchup
+0.51
Flip edge
-0.77
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.31

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

2

Points

3.5

Per game

1.75

17-gm pace

30

Best / worst

1.9 / 1.6

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
11.6TE482160
31.9TE452190