Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Lewis Bond

HOUROOKIE R6

WR276 · overall #647 · tier

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Projected points

6

0.4/gm

Value over replacement

-101

repl 115

Range

0–24

sd 18

Week

0.3

vs BUF

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
4
Carries
0
Receptions
2
Rec yards
33
Rush yards
0
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
0.2
Total TD
0.2
Games projected
14.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
Games of history
0
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.9
Projected plays / game
61.9
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-1.37
OL pass protection
-1.17
OL continuity
70%
2TE rate
20%
3WR rate
76%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.37
Scheme creativity
-0.30
Play action / motion
23% / 53%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
4.55
Top player's share
35%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy low
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
BUF,CIN,IND
Window matchup
+0.36
Opponents after
DAL,TEN,JAX
After matchup
+0.44
Flip edge
-0.08
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.75

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Lewis Bond — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.