RB
Kyren Williams
LARB10 · overall #13 · tier 3 · age 25
Projected points
203
14.9/gm
Value over replacement
110
repl 110
Range
163–243
sd 40
Week
13.4
vs SF
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 41
- Carries
- 231
- Receptions
- 31
- Rec yards
- 226
- Rush yards
- 1042
- Rush TD
- 7.7
- Rec TD
- 1.5
- Total TD
- 9.3
- Games projected
- 13.6
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 16.1
- Games of history
- 53
- Age multiplier
- 1.000
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 33.6
- Projected plays / game
- 62.0
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- +0.83
- OL pass protection
- +0.80
- OL continuity
- 82%
- 2TE rate
- 31%
- 3WR rate
- 69%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 49%
- Run friendly
- -0.62
- Scheme creativity
- +1.30
- Play action / motion
- 32% / 70%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- clear lead
- Ambiguity score
- 16
- Effective contributors
- 1.93
- Top player's share
- 63%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.32
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- SF,NYG,DEN
- Window matchup
- +0.73
- Opponents after
- PHI,BUF,ARI
- After matchup
- +0.92
- Flip edge
- -0.19
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 11
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.05
2025 game log
full season · Half PPR
Games
17
Points
245.3
Per game
14.43
17-gm pace
245
Best / worst
27.1 / 5.3
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13.4 | 18 | 66 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 2 | 9.0 | 17 | 66 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 0 |
| 3 | 18.2 | 20 | 94 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 1 |
| 4 | 8.9 | 13 | 77 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 0 |
| 5 | 27.1 | 14 | 65 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 66 | 2 |
| 6 | 15.7 | 13 | 50 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 37 | 0 |
| 7 | 7.5 | 12 | 54 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
| 9 | 17.4 | 25 | 114 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | 21.4 | 14 | 73 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 | 16.1 | 12 | 91 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 | 5.3 | 12 | 46 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | 13.2 | 13 | 72 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | 16.7 | 13 | 84 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 | 21.3 | 15 | 78 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 | 10.0 | 23 | 70 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 | 14.5 | 13 | 92 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 | 9.6 | 12 | 60 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 0 |