Kyle Pitts

ATL

TE9 · overall #84 · tier 3 · age 25

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Projected points

127

8.6/gm

Value over replacement

repl 112

Range

96–158

sd 31

Week

4.0

@ NO

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Per game Season total

Targets / game: 6.7
Carries / game: 0.0
Receptions / game: 4.5
Rec yards / game: 49
Rush yards / game: -0
Rush TD / game: 0.00
Rec TD / game: 0.26
Total TD / game: 0.26
Games projected: 14.7
Observed pts/gm (history): 9.4
Games of history: 61
Age multiplier: 1.050
Usage carryover: 1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 33.6
Projected plays / game: 61.7
Projected pass rate: 56%
OL run block: +0.05
OL pass protection: +0.17
OL continuity: 82%
2TE rate: 29%
3WR rate: 64%
1st-down pass rate: 40%
Run friendly: +0.35
Scheme creativity: -0.20
Play action / motion: 17% / 66%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: clear lead
Ambiguity score: 2
Effective contributors: 1.15
Top player's share: 93%
New play-caller: no
Variance multiplier: 1.14

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: buy low
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: NO,BAL,CHI
Window matchup: -0.19
Opponents after: SF,TB,CIN
After matchup: +0.59
Flip edge: -0.78
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 11
Playoff schedule (15-17): +0.69

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

166.8

Per game

9.81

17-gm pace

167

Best / worst

40.1 / 2.4

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds	Re TD
1	9.4	TE12	8	7	59	0
2	5.7	TE18	5	4	37	0
3	5.9	TE21	6	4	39	0
4	15.5	TE4	5	5	70	1
6	3.3	TE35	4	3	18	0
7	9.7	TE15	10	7	62	0
8	10.4	TE9	9	9	59	0
9	5.8	TE25	7	4	38	0
10	4.8	TE22	5	2	38	0
11	2.4	TE39	3	2	14	0
12	3.5	TE31	5	2	25	0
13	11.7	TE6	8	7	82	0
14	12.0	TE7	10	6	90	0
15	40.1	TE1	12	11	166	3
16	15.2	TE3	9	7	57	1
17	2.6	TE36	3	2	16	0
18	8.8	TE12	9	6	58	0